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Uzbekistan forecast

Reach the final

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Win it all

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The round-by-round path updates as the model refreshes. For now, only the reach probabilities above are available.

Projections from simulated tournaments using my own Elo ratings and a Dixon-Coles scoreline model, conditioned on the completed results.

Powered by GAFFER (Goal-Adjusted Forecasting From Elo Ratings).

Model projection, not betting odds.