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United States forecast
Reach the final
2%
Win it all
<1%
Most likely opponent each round
For each round United States reaches, the single likeliest opponent and the model's chance of beating them in that one match. This is a readable path, not a most probable bracket: the per-match chances are not multiplied into the headline above.
- Round of 32Bosnia-Herzegovina100% likelyWin vs them: 73%
- Round of 16Belgium66% likelyWin vs them: 42%
- QuarterfinalsSpain71% likelyWin vs them: 18%
- SemifinalsFrance40% likelyWin vs them: 22%
- FinalArgentina45% likelyWin vs them: 16%