Back to The Almanac
Mexico forecast
Reach the final
4%
Win it all
1%
Most likely opponent each round
For each round Mexico reaches, the single likeliest opponent and the model's chance of beating them in that one match. This is a readable path, not a most probable bracket: the per-match chances are not multiplied into the headline above.
- Round of 32Ecuador100% likelyWin vs them: 51%
- Round of 16England88% likelyWin vs them: 35%
- QuarterfinalsBrazil40% likelyWin vs them: 41%
- SemifinalsArgentina64% likelyWin vs them: 26%
- FinalSpain48% likelyWin vs them: 28%