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Japan forecast
Reach the final
2%
Win it all
1%
Most likely opponent each round
For each round Japan reaches, the single likeliest opponent and the model's chance of beating them in that one match. This is a readable path, not a most probable bracket: the per-match chances are not multiplied into the headline above.
- Round of 32Brazil100% likelyWin vs them: 41%
- Round of 16Norway70% likelyWin vs them: 50%
- QuarterfinalsEngland59% likelyWin vs them: 35%
- SemifinalsArgentina64% likelyWin vs them: 26%
- FinalSpain44% likelyWin vs them: 28%