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France forecast
Reach the final
18%
Win it all
9%
Most likely opponent each round
For each round France reaches, the single likeliest opponent and the model's chance of beating them in that one match. This is a readable path, not a most probable bracket: the per-match chances are not multiplied into the headline above.
- Round of 32Sweden100% likelyWin vs them: 83%
- Round of 16Germany60% likelyWin vs them: 65%
- QuarterfinalsNetherlands40% likelyWin vs them: 66%
- SemifinalsSpain60% likelyWin vs them: 45%
- FinalArgentina45% likelyWin vs them: 43%