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Ecuador forecast
Reach the final
1%
Win it all
<1%
Most likely opponent each round
For each round Ecuador reaches, the single likeliest opponent and the model's chance of beating them in that one match. This is a readable path, not a most probable bracket: the per-match chances are not multiplied into the headline above.
- Round of 32Mexico100% likelyWin vs them: 49%
- Round of 16England87% likelyWin vs them: 34%
- QuarterfinalsBrazil39% likelyWin vs them: 40%
- SemifinalsArgentina65% likelyWin vs them: 25%
- FinalSpain46% likelyWin vs them: 27%